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Sandy Barrett

The Art and Science of Prediction

There is no doubt that uncertainty can cause stress by way of lost hope. It is human nature to keep on hoping against all odds, so when we lose hope, many will turn to anything they believe might recover it.


Some will use meditation or hypnosis to go within to find the answers, while others will search externally, seeking assistance from friends, family, psychologists, counsellors, spiritual leaders, religious teachers and mystics; each with their own special tools of the trade.


A psychologist may use mindfulness, while a mystic's crystal ball may provide the symbolic visions to locate our missing hope. No single process is 100% accurate for all people, all the time, but our emotional state may well determine what we choose to believe to be true.


On the topic of tools of the trade, this pandemic is being measured by a laboratory technique called reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR ). Because no test is 100% accurate, a margin for error must be incorporated into the results and to this end, positive predictive value (PPV) analysis can be used to assess how many false positives there will be across a tested population. For example, if a test is 99% accurate, there will be 1 person in every 100 who falsely tests positive, and 10 in every 1,000, 100 in every 10,000 and so on.



As at 1 July 2021 in Australia, there have been around 31,000 positive COVID-19 cases out of a total 21 million tests performed. At such a low incidence of disease, this suggests the test must be close to, or even 100% accurate. Any slight inaccuracy would render many of those cases false positives. If the test accuracy is below 99.85%, ALL of those 31,000 cases will be false positives, merely as a function of the tiny 0.15% inaccuracy of the test!


People for Safe Vaccines Ltd recently commissioned an expert report into PPV, which applies PPV to case numbers and tests for Australia, Victoria, New South Wales, Western Australia and the Pfizer and AstraZeneca mRNA vaccine trials.

The report concludes that the data must be unreliable, considering the range of accuracy cited for the RT-PCR test, the anomalous results and the impracticality of achieving those very high specificities in practice.

The inventor of the PCR test, Kary Mullis, is on record stating that the PCR test should not be used to diagnose infectious disease, yet here we are 18 months after the pandemic was announced, still under the belief that this tool is the gold-standard for diagnosing COVID-19 – and still without any official recognition of the impact of PPV on case numbers!


Clearly the only thing that is 100% predictable is the governments’ ignorance of these vital facts.


Perhaps the real issue here is the government's hope to hold on to their plan at all costs, regardless of evidence to the contrary. This state-of-mind is like a form of hypnosis. But if hope springs eternal, our continued efforts might just wake them from their trance-like state and bring this country back to reality. Perhaps it's time to consult the crystal ball.

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descarroll
Jul 13, 2021

It is time we started to turn the tables on those forcing the gene therapy on us. We should start and promote on all social media a database that collects the details of any person who tries to pressure us to be vaccinated. The purpose of this database would be to capture the identity of these people so that in time it may be presented in an international court as those people who committed or were accessories to crimes against humanity based on the Nuremberg Code. This database may include police, educators, doctors, nurses, in fact anyone who tries to use leverage to comply or who is not authorised to give medical advice. For example, if the police push for…

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maraege
Jul 12, 2021

Sandy I am uploading a very significant interview between Reiner Fullmich and Dr David Martin. This blows the lid entirely off the fake pandemic, fake testing, everything.

https://www.bitchute.com/video/hhLzVZglaea3/


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dion.kovac
Jul 12, 2021
Replying to

Scroll to page 17 for the link to the Merck conference about the "new normal campaign" of Jan 6th 2004. Also note Stanley Plo t kin as another keynote speaker on that same day. Drosten gets a mention towards the end with his invention of the computer simulation sequencing.


https://www.covidtruths.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/The-FauciCOVID-19-Dossier2532.pdf


The proof is all in there and it's looking to be a case of epic proportions and I'm optimistic the psychopaths will go down but they own the media and the courts, we are seeing that here in Oz with what just happened to Serene, how does this info break through to the masses?


The Fauci dossier shows for a case in racketeering under the Rico act, this is a…


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dion.kovac
Jul 09, 2021

Graphenea is a private European company (based in Spain) focused on the production of high quality graphene for industrial applications. Graphenea produces both CVD graphene (using Aixtron’s Black Magic equipment) and Graphene Oxide materials.


Who we are

Ron Mertens is graphene-info’s owner and editor-in-chief. A software engineer by trade, Ron turned a curiosity with graphene into a career, bringing his eye for detail and passion for technology with him. He lives in Herzliya, Israel, where he raises his two beautiful daughters and contemplates life. He enjoys improvising on the piano, dabbling in photography, surfing and hiking.


Roni Peleg is the senior editor of graphene-info. Her work spans technical translations, literary editing and content writing, but her heart now belongs to…


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Thank you Sandy for informing us. 👏🏻

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jsimard3rd
Jul 07, 2021

I'm not sure whether I've got this right but to what extent do these figures incorporate the ct calibration to a number deemed to accurately identify a live and infectious viral load? Are the numbers even more 'wobbly boot'?

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